EU renewable energy targets in 2020: Revised analysis of scenarios for transport fuels

In this report, the potential for renewable fuels to achieve mandatory targets for renewable energy and GHG intensity reduction in EU transport by 2020 has been assessed. Contributions from the road and non-road transport sectors have been considered as well as taking the broader view on other alternative fuels. Specifically, dedicated model runs have been performed to assess air transport’s contribution to the RED regulatory target. Following a review of the EU regulatory framework in Chapter 2, Chapter 3 describes the Fleet and Fuel s Model developed by JEC and includes details of the reference scenario. Chapter 4 discusses the biofuel s supply outlook including advanced biofuels assumptions. Chapter 5 outlines the outcomes of the study including the reference case, comparison with JEC Biofuels Study 2011, different market fuel demand scenarios, a comparative impact of legislative proposals and sensitivity runs. Conclusions from the study are presented in Chapter 6